Stars League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Al Ahli Doha
vs
Al Wakrah
0 – 3 Full time
| 18′ | Amine Zouhzouh | ||
| 57′ | Talal Al Shila | ||
| 60′ | Talal Al ShilaGhanem Al-Minhali | ||
| 62′ | Amine Zouhzouh | ||
| 65′ | Gelson DalaMohamed Simo | ||
| 77′ | Driss FettouhiLuiz Junior | ||
| 79′ | Ayoub AssalAlmahdi Ali | ||
| 83′ | Ghanem Al-Minhali | ||
| 83′ | Ahmed Reyed MawlaJassem Mohammed | ||
| 83′ | Ismaeel MohammadYounis Hussein Abdelrahman | ||
| 90′ | Amine Zouhzouh | ||
| 90′ | Amine ZouhzouhTamer Seyam | ||
| 90′ | Nabil IrfanAbdelrahman Zaky |
Al Ahli Doha
48%
Draw
22%
Al Wakrah
30%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 449 | Accurate passes | 289 |
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah
| Probability | Al Ahli Doha | Draw | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.7% | 21.9% | 30.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.7% | 21.9% | 30.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al Ahli Doha
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
75%
No goals
3%
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah expected goals
Al Ahli Doha
2.20
Al Wakrah
1.75
Total expected goals: 3.95
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah attack and defence ratings
Al Ahli Doha
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Al Wakrah
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah: result vs prediction
Al Ahli Doha 0 – 3 Al Wakrah
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahli Doha | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahli Doha | 47.7% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Al Wakrah | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.2% |
| No | 25.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahli Doha win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah stats
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah recent form
| Al Ahli Doha |
WLWDLW |
| Al Wakrah |
WDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah going into this match
Al Ahli Doha record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Al Wakrah record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Al Ahli Doha wins
2Draws
4Al Wakrah wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Al Wakrah | Al Ahli Doha | Stars League | 3-2 |
| 2025-11-11 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Wakrah | QSL Cup | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 5-3 |
| 2025-01-11 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 6-3 |
| 2024-11-15 | Al Wakrah | Al Ahli Doha | QSL Cup | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Al Wakrah | Al Ahli Doha | Stars League | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-28 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 1-0 |
| 2023-12-08 | Al Wakrah | Al Ahli Doha | Stars League | 3-2 |
| 2023-11-18 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Wakrah | QSL Cup | 4-2 |
| 2023-03-18 | Al Wakrah | Al Ahli Doha | Stars League | 5-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.