Al Ahli Doha
vs
Al Wakrah
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Wakrah
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah
| Probability | Al Ahli Doha | Draw | Al Wakrah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 22.8% | 39.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.3% | 22.8% | 39.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah match preview
In the upcoming Stars League match, Al Ahli Doha faces Al Wakrah with a predicted outcome reflecting a competitive contest. According to our model, Al Ahli Doha has a 37% chance of winning, while Al Wakrah holds a slight edge at 40%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with both teams expected to contribute to the score, as indicated by a 74% probability for both teams to score.
Recent form shows Al Ahli Doha with mixed results, recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Al Wakrah has a slightly better run with three wins, two draws, and one loss. Expected goals are closely matched, with Al Ahli Doha at 1.88 and Al Wakrah at 1.95, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair, as indicated by a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah attack and defence ratings
Al Ahli Doha
Al Wakrah
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wakrah | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahli Doha | 37.3% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Al Wakrah | 39.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.5% |
| No | 26.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Wakrah win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 1-2 | 7.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah stats
Al Ahli Doha and Al Wakrah recent form
| Al Ahli Doha |
LWDLWW |
| Al Wakrah |
WDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Ahli Doha vs Al Wakrah head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Al Wakrah | Al Ahli Doha | Stars League | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 5-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.