Al-Gharafa
vs
Al-Rayyan SC
0 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | Ayoub Al-Oui | ||
| 44′ | David García | ||
| 44′ | Julien De Sart | ||
| 45′ | Frank MagriHassan Aladin | ||
| 50′ | Ferjani Sassi | ||
| 65′ | Diogo Amaro | ||
| 69′ | Ismaël BennacerAmro Surag | ||
| 70′ | Ahmed Al Minhali | ||
| 72′ | Dame TraoreAbdulrahman Al-Rashidi | ||
| 74′ | Ahmed Al-GanehiAbdulaziz Hatim | ||
| 74′ | Julien De SartGabriel Pereira | ||
| 85′ | Saifeldeen Fadlalla | ||
| 85′ | André AmaroAleksandar Mitrović | ||
| 86′ | Ahmed AlaaeldinYousef Ayman | ||
| 90′ | Yacine Brahimi | ||
| 90′ | Pedro Rui da Mota Vieira Martins | ||
| 90′ | Seydou Sano |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 255 | Accurate passes | 364 |
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC
| Probability | Al-Gharafa | Draw | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.3% | 17.4% | 73.3% |
| Market | 18.9% | 21.2% | 59.9% |
| Final | 16.5% | 20.2% | 63.3% |
| Edge | -2.4% | -0.9% | +3.3% |
Why Al-Rayyan SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Rayyan SC below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Gharafa and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Al-Gharafa and Al-Rayyan SC attack and defence ratings
Al-Gharafa
Al-Rayyan SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC: result vs prediction
Al-Gharafa 0 – 0 Al-Rayyan SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 63.3% | 1.58 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Rayyan SC win | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Gharafa | 16.5% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 63.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Rayyan SC win | 51.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.6% |
| 0-3 | 9.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC stats
Al-Gharafa and Al-Rayyan SC recent form
| Al-Gharafa |
LDLLWD |
| Al-Rayyan SC |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Gharafa and Al-Rayyan SC going into this match
Al-Gharafa record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Al-Rayyan SC record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | Al-Gharafa | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-25 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | Stars League | 2-3 |
| 2025-05-24 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | Emir Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-29 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | Stars League | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-23 | Al-Gharafa | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | Qatar Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Al-Gharafa | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 3-0 |
| 2023-10-28 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | Stars League | 3-4 |
| 2023-10-07 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-08 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Gharafa | Stars League | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 21.2%, away 59.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.82 | 4.25 | 1.51 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 4.65 | 4.25 | 1.50 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .