Stars League Β· Β·Matchday 7

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC

Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Rayyan SC

0 – 2 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha

Al-Sailiya 11%
Draw 17%
Al-Rayyan SC 71%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Al-Rayyan SC wins
71%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 2
12% of simulated outcomes

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-SailiyaDrawAl-Rayyan SC
Model6.3%13.9%79.8%
Market13.0%18.3%68.7%
Final11.4%17.2%71.5%
Edge-6.7%-4.4%+11.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Rayyan SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al-Rayyan SC below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC match preview

Al-Sailiya faces a challenging match against Al-Rayyan SC, with a probability of 12% for a win, 17% for a draw, and 71% for an Al-Rayyan SC victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-2, occurring at a rate of 12%. Al-Sailiya's recent form shows a series of struggles, with six consecutive matches without a win, while Al-Rayyan SC has shown more resilience, recording two wins in their last three matches.

In terms of expected goals, Al-Sailiya is projected to score 0.72, whereas Al-Rayyan SC is expected to net 2.80. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 68%, and there is a 49% chance that both teams will score. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Al-Sailiya has secured 2 wins, while Al-Rayyan SC has achieved 5 victories.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Sailiya ↓ / Al-Rayyan SC β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 12% 11% 15% 1 8% 8% 11% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals

Al-Sailiya 0.72
Al-Rayyan SC 2.80

Total expected goals: 3.51

Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC attack and defence ratings

Al-Sailiya

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.51 +51%

Al-Rayyan SC

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Rayyan SC 71.5% 1.40 +11.1% 1.36
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 88.6% 1.13 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Al-Rayyan SC win 60.4% 1.66 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Sailiya11.4%
Draw17.2%
Al-Rayyan SC71.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)28.5%
12 (either side)82.8%
X2 (draw or away)88.6%
Handicap -1Al-Rayyan SC win60.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss20.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.6%
0-310.9%
1-28.4%

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC stats

Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC recent form

newest first
Al-Sailiya DLLLLL
Al-Rayyan SC DWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC season so far

league record

Al-Sailiya record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Al-Rayyan SC record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Al-Sailiya wins 3Draws 5Al-Rayyan SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-28Al-SailiyaAl-Rayyan SCQSL Cup1-1
2026-01-06Al-SailiyaAl-Rayyan SCStars League1-3
2025-11-14Al-SailiyaAl-Rayyan SCQSL Cup1-4
2025-08-14Al-Rayyan SCAl-SailiyaStars League3-1
2023-04-14Al-SailiyaAl-Rayyan SCStars League2-2
2023-03-07Al-Rayyan SCAl-SailiyaEmir Cup1-2
2023-01-05Al-Rayyan SCAl-SailiyaStars League2-0
2022-03-23Al-SailiyaAl-Rayyan SCQSL Cup3-2
2022-02-10Al-SailiyaAl-Rayyan SCStars League1-1
2021-10-26Al-Rayyan SCAl-SailiyaStars League4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 13.0%, draw 18.3%, away 68.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.27 5.10 1.30
Bet365 7.00 4.75 1.33
BetVictor 7.50 5.00 1.30
Betano 6.80 5.00 1.36
Betfair 7.50 5.00 1.29
Dafabet 6.80 5.00 1.33
Marathonbet 6.95 5.10 1.28
Pinnacle 7.15 5.42 1.33
William Hill 6.50 4.80 1.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.00 β–² +0.38
X 5.00 β–² +0.05
2 1.33 β€”

7 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Al-Rayyan SC Predicted score 0 – 2 Low Bet Now
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