Al Shahaniya
vs
Al Sadd
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Sadd
1 – 3 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd
| Probability | Al Shahaniya | Draw | Al Sadd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.5% | 14.6% | 69.9% |
| Market | 13.1% | 17.3% | 69.7% |
| Final | 13.7% | 16.6% | 69.7% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -2.6% | +0.2% |
Why Al Sadd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.43 vs 1.71.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.37, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd match preview
Al Shahaniya faces Al Sadd in the Stars League on October 22, 2026. Al Shahaniya has a 13% chance of winning, while Al Sadd is favored with a 71% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-3, with an expected goals tally of 1.71 for Al Shahaniya and 3.43 for Al Sadd. Recent form shows Al Shahaniya with two wins in their last six matches, while Al Sadd has won four of their last six.
The model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with an 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 80% probability of both teams scoring. In their last ten encounters, Al Sadd has dominated with eight wins compared to Al Shahaniya's two. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Shahaniya and Al Sadd expected goals
Total expected goals: 5.14
Al Shahaniya and Al Sadd attack and defence ratings
Al Shahaniya
Al Sadd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 69.7% | 1.43 | +0.2% | 1.37 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Al Sadd win | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shahaniya | 13.7% |
| Draw | 16.6% | |
| Al Sadd | 69.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.6% |
| No | 20.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Sadd win | 52.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.2% | |
| Loss | 30.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-3 | 6.7% |
| 1-2 | 5.9% | |
| 1-4 | 5.8% |
Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd stats
Al Shahaniya and Al Sadd recent form
| Al Shahaniya |
LWDLWL |
| Al Sadd |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shahaniya and Al Sadd season so far
Al Shahaniya record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Sadd record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | Al Sadd | Al Shahaniya | Stars League | 4-0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Al Sadd | Al Shahaniya | QSL Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Al Shahaniya | Al Sadd | Stars League | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Al Shahaniya | Al Sadd | Stars League | 0-5 |
| 2024-10-18 | Al Sadd | Al Shahaniya | Stars League | 4-2 |
| 2023-04-24 | Al Sadd | Al Shahaniya | Emir Cup | 5-1 |
| 2020-01-25 | Al Sadd | Al Shahaniya | Stars League | 4-2 |
| 2019-11-15 | Al Sadd | Al Shahaniya | QSL Cup | 3-1 |
| 2019-08-31 | Al Shahaniya | Al Sadd | Stars League | 1-7 |
| 2018-12-07 | Al Shahaniya | Al Sadd | Stars League | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Shahaniya vs Al Sadd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 13.1%, draw 17.3%, away 69.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.44 | 5.25 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 5.25 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 7.00 | 5.25 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 6.20 | 5.30 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 5.60 | 1.34 |
| Marathonbet | 7.10 | 5.25 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 6.93 | 5.72 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .