Al Shamal
vs
Qatar SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Shamal
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shamal vs Qatar SC
| Probability | Al Shamal | Draw | Qatar SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 26.7% | 31.9% |
| Market | 52.4% | 23.1% | 24.5% |
| Final | 49.6% | 24.0% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -11.0% | +3.6% | +7.4% |
Why Al Shamal
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.82, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC match preview
Al Shamal faces Qatar SC in the Stars League, with our model giving Al Shamal a 51% chance of winning, while Qatar SC has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Al Shamal, with an expected goals tally of 1.58 for Al Shamal and 1.36 for Qatar SC. Both teams have shown fluctuating form recently, with Al Shamal recording two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while Qatar SC has struggled with just one draw and four losses.
In terms of scoring, our model indicates a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance that both teams will score. Historically, in their last ten encounters, Al Shamal has won three times, while Qatar SC has secured six victories, suggesting a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Shamal and Qatar SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Al Shamal and Qatar SC attack and defence ratings
Al Shamal
Qatar SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shamal | 49.6% | 2.01 | -11.0% | 1.82 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shamal | 49.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Qatar SC | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.2% |
| No | 39.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Shamal win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC stats
Al Shamal and Qatar SC recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shamal and Qatar SC season so far
Al Shamal record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qatar SC record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Al Shamal | Qatar SC | Stars League | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Al Shamal | Qatar SC | Emir Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Qatar SC | Al Shamal | Stars League | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-30 | Qatar SC | Al Shamal | Stars League | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-22 | Al Shamal | Qatar SC | Stars League | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Al Shamal | Qatar SC | Stars League | 1-2 |
| 2023-11-24 | Qatar SC | Al Shamal | Stars League | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-02 | Al Shamal | Qatar SC | Stars League | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-29 | Qatar SC | Al Shamal | Stars League | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-13 | Qatar SC | Al Shamal | Emir Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 23.1%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.92 | 3.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.75 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.90 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.90 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.92 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 4.20 | 3.74 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .