Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Lusail City vs Al Shamal

0 – 0 Full time

33′Omid Ebrahimi
40′Musab Khoder
45′Franco Russo
50′Ali Nemati
57′Naif Al-HadhramiKhaled Mansour
59′Mowafak Awad
64′Mowafak AwadAbdelkarim Hassan
65′Mohamed Ali Ben RomdhaneRiyad Mahrez
65′Ali AssadallaFahad Waad
75′Mohamed AiashAli Karami
82′Khaled MohammedMohamed Khaled
82′Farhad ZavoshiTiago Geralnik
85′Rodrigo Machado
85′Nassim BenaissaAbdullah Abdulsalam

Lusail Stadium, Lusail

Lusail City 31%
Draw 25%
Al Shamal 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
37 Possession % 63
3 Corners 9
4 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 3
219 Accurate passes 428

Lusail City vs Al Shamal overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lusail City vs Al Shamal

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLusail CityDrawAl Shamal
Model45.4%27.0%27.6%
Market26.3%24.3%49.4%
Final31.1%25.0%44.0%
Edge+4.8%+0.7%-5.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Al Shamal

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lusail City ↓ / Al Shamal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Lusail City and Al Shamal expected goals

Lusail City 1.61
Al Shamal 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.82

Lusail City and Al Shamal attack and defence ratings

Lusail City

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Al Shamal

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Lusail City vs Al Shamal: result vs prediction

Lusail City 0 – 0 Al Shamal

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Lusail City vs Al Shamal markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Shamal 44.0% 2.28 -5.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.3% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.4% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lusail City31.1%
Draw25.0%
Al Shamal44.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.5%
Under 2.546.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.3%
No42.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.0%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)68.9%
Handicap -1Al Shamal win11.8%
Push (exactly one goal)15.8%
Loss72.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-19.3%
1-08.4%

Lusail City vs Al Shamal stats

Lusail City and Al Shamal recent form

newest first
Lusail City LDWDL
Al Shamal LDWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Lusail City and Al Shamal going into this match

league record before kick-off

Lusail City record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Al Shamal record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Lusail City vs Al Shamal head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Lusail City wins 0Draws 4Al Shamal wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-02-20Lusail CityAl ShamalSecond Division0-1
2021-01-01Al ShamalLusail CitySecond Division0-1
2020-10-29Lusail CityAl ShamalSecond Division1-5
2020-01-22Lusail CityAl ShamalSecond Division1-2
2019-10-24Al ShamalLusail CitySecond Division3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Lusail City vs Al Shamal odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.1%, draw 24.2%, away 49.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.48 3.68 1.83
Bet365 3.50 3.75 1.83
BetVictor 3.40 3.80 1.83
Betano 3.55 3.70 1.90
Betfair 3.40 4.00 1.80
Dafabet 3.50 3.80 1.88
Marathonbet 3.40 3.68 1.81
Pinnacle 3.68 3.99 1.88
William Hill 3.40 3.50 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.44 ▼ -0.04
X 3.71 ▲ +0.01
2 1.83 —

6 snapshots recorded, from .