Al-Duhail SC
vs
Lusail City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Duhail SC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City
| Probability | Al-Duhail SC | Draw | Lusail City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 29.9% | 26.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.8% | 29.9% | 26.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Duhail SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City match preview
In the upcoming Stars League match, Al-Duhail SC faces Lusail City on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Al-Duhail SC has a 44% probability of winning, while Lusail City stands at 26%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Al-Duhail SC, occurring with an 11% probability.
Al-Duhail SC's expected goals are 1.36, compared to Lusail City's 1.00. Recent form indicates that Al-Duhail SC has won two matches and drawn three, while Lusail City has drawn two and lost three of their last six games. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring has a probability of 48%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Duhail SC and Lusail City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Al-Duhail SC and Lusail City attack and defence ratings
Al-Duhail SC
Lusail City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Duhail SC | 43.8% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Duhail SC | 43.8% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Lusail City | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Duhail SC win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
Al-Duhail SC vs Lusail City stats
Al-Duhail SC and Lusail City recent form
| Al-Duhail SC |
WWDDDW |
| Lusail City |
DLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Duhail SC and Lusail City season so far
Al-Duhail SC record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lusail City record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.