Al Wakrah
vs
Al-Arabi SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Arabi SC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC
| Probability | Al Wakrah | Draw | Al-Arabi SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.7% | 23.6% | 48.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.7% | 23.6% | 48.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al-Arabi SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC match preview
In the upcoming Stars League match, Al Wakrah faces Al-Arabi SC, with the latter holding a 49% probability of winning according to our model. Al Wakrah has shown mixed recent form with two wins, two draws, and two losses, while Al-Arabi SC has been more consistent, recording three wins and three draws in their last six matches.
The expected goals for Al Wakrah stand at 1.47, while Al-Arabi SC is projected to score 1.98. Both teams are likely to contribute to the scoreline, with a 67% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. The most likely outcome is a 1-2 scoreline, which has a 9% probability. In their last ten encounters, Al Wakrah has secured two wins, while Al-Arabi SC has claimed six victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC attack and defence ratings
Al Wakrah
Al-Arabi SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Arabi SC | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Wakrah | 27.7% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Al-Arabi SC | 48.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.2% |
| No | 32.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Arabi SC win | 28.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 6.8% |
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC stats
Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC recent form
| Al Wakrah |
WWDLLD |
| Al-Arabi SC |
WWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Wakrah and Al-Arabi SC season so far
Al Wakrah record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Arabi SC record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Wakrah vs Al-Arabi SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Al Wakrah | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-02 | Al Wakrah | Al-Arabi SC | QSL Cup | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 2-2 |
| 2025-01-24 | Al Wakrah | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 4-3 |
| 2024-08-17 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-05 | Al Wakrah | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 2-4 |
| 2023-11-25 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Wakrah | QSL Cup | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Wakrah | Stars League | 1-2 |
| 2023-01-12 | Al Wakrah | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.