Al Shahaniya
vs
Al-Arabi SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Arabi SC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC
| Probability | Al Shahaniya | Draw | Al-Arabi SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.3% | 27.9% | 37.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.3% | 27.9% | 37.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC match preview
Al Shahaniya faces Al-Arabi SC in the Stars League on October 16, 2026. According to our model, Al-Arabi SC has a slight edge with a 38% probability of winning, compared to Al Shahaniya's 34% and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Al Shahaniya stand at 1.34, while Al-Arabi SC is projected to score 1.42. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Al Shahaniya has recorded two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches, while Al-Arabi SC has seen one win, three draws, and a couple of losses. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 52%, and both teams scoring is projected at 57%. Historically, Al-Arabi SC has won both of their last two encounters against Al Shahaniya.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Shahaniya and Al-Arabi SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Al Shahaniya and Al-Arabi SC attack and defence ratings
Al Shahaniya
Al-Arabi SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Arabi SC | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shahaniya | 34.3% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Al-Arabi SC | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Arabi SC win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC stats
Al Shahaniya and Al-Arabi SC recent form
| Al Shahaniya |
DLWLWD |
| Al-Arabi SC |
WDWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Al Shahaniya | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Al-Arabi SC | Al Shahaniya | Stars League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.