Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC

2 – 2 Full time

25′Aron GunnarssonIbrahim Abdelhalim
31′Abdullah Maarafiya
34′Niall Mason
47′Said Brahmi
51′Abdulrahman Mohamed Mohamed
51′Joao Pedro
56′Ahmed DoozandehMohamed Taabouni
64′Ali SaoudiMohamed Mushrinn
71′Ali OlwanMus'ab Al-Batat
73′Pau Prim
82′Younès Belhanda
85′Said BrahmiYaseen Lafrid
85′Yohan BoliSebastian Soria
90′Joselu

Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha

Al-Sailiya 24%
Draw 24%
Qatar SC 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
6 Corners 7
17 Fouls 15
4 Saves 2
249 Accurate passes 291

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-SailiyaDrawQatar SC
Model26.7%23.7%49.6%
Market23.2%24.5%52.3%
Final24.1%24.3%51.6%
Edge+0.9%-0.2%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Qatar SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.41.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Sailiya ↓ / Qatar SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC expected goals

Al-Sailiya 1.41
Qatar SC 1.97

Total expected goals: 3.38

Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC attack and defence ratings

Al-Sailiya

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Qatar SC

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC: result vs prediction

Al-Sailiya 2 – 2 Qatar SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Qatar SC 51.6% 1.94 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.7% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Sailiya24.1%
Draw24.3%
Qatar SC51.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.7%
Under 2.534.3%
Both teams to scoreYes66.1%
No33.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.4%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)75.9%
Handicap -1Qatar SC win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-29.3%
2-16.7%

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC stats

Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC recent form

newest first
Al-Sailiya LLLLLL
Qatar SC LDLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Sailiya record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Qatar SC record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Al-Sailiya wins 2Draws 4Qatar SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17Al-SailiyaQatar SCStars League2-1
2025-08-21Qatar SCAl-SailiyaStars League2-0
2023-02-21Qatar SCAl-SailiyaStars League1-1
2022-10-07Al-SailiyaQatar SCQSL Cup0-2
2022-08-15Al-SailiyaQatar SCStars League1-2
2022-02-25Al-SailiyaQatar SCStars League1-1
2021-12-13Qatar SCAl-SailiyaQSL Cup0-3
2021-11-15Al-SailiyaQatar SCQSL Cup8-0
2021-11-04Qatar SCAl-SailiyaStars League2-1
2021-04-03Qatar SCAl-SailiyaStars League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.8%, draw 24.9%, away 51.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.03 3.62 1.72
Bet365 3.60 3.90 1.80
BetVictor 3.90 3.80 1.73
Betano 3.40 3.60 1.98
Betfair 3.30 3.80 1.91
Dafabet 3.45 3.55 1.96
Marathonbet 3.94 3.62 1.70
Pinnacle 4.35 3.90 1.76
William Hill 3.80 3.50 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.92 ▲ +0.36
X 3.71 ▲ +0.15
2 1.74 ▼ -0.10

5 snapshots recorded, from .