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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC

0 – 3 Full time

Qatar Sports Club Stadium, Doha

Qatar SC 17%
Draw 21%
Al-Rayyan SC 62%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQatar SCDrawAl-Rayyan SC
Model15.0%22.6%62.4%
Market17.3%20.6%62.1%
Final16.7%21.1%62.2%
Edge-2.3%+1.9%+0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Rayyan SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qatar SC ↓ / Al-Rayyan SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 10% 11% 7% 6% 1 11% 10% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals

Qatar SC 0.91
Al-Rayyan SC 2.03

Total expected goals: 2.94

Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC attack and defence ratings

Qatar SC

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Al-Rayyan SC

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC: result vs prediction

Qatar SC 0 – 3 Al-Rayyan SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Rayyan SC 62.2% 1.61 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.8% 1.90 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.3% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Al-Rayyan SC win 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qatar SC16.7%
Draw21.1%
Al-Rayyan SC62.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.8%
No47.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)37.8%
12 (either side)78.9%
X2 (draw or away)83.3%
Handicap -1Al-Rayyan SC win39.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss37.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-210.9%
1-110.7%
1-29.9%

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC stats

Qatar SC and Al-Rayyan SC recent form

newest first
Qatar SC DLLDLW
Al-Rayyan SC WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Qatar SC wins 5Draws 4Al-Rayyan SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-20Al-Rayyan SCQatar SCQSL Cup2-2
2026-02-06Qatar SCAl-Rayyan SCStars League3-3
2025-09-13Al-Rayyan SCQatar SCStars League1-1
2025-09-03Al-Rayyan SCQatar SCQSL Cup4-1
2025-04-18Al-Rayyan SCQatar SCStars League2-0
2024-12-07Qatar SCAl-Rayyan SCStars League1-2
2024-10-11Al-Rayyan SCQatar SCQSL Cup2-2
2024-05-14Qatar SCAl-Rayyan SCEmir Cup4-4
2024-04-17Qatar SCAl-Rayyan SCStars League0-3
2023-12-28Al-Rayyan SCQatar SCQSL Cup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.3%, draw 20.6%, away 62.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.41 4.33 1.45
Bet365 5.00 4.20 1.48
BetVictor 5.25 4.40 1.45
Betano 5.10 4.40 1.52
Betfair 5.50 4.40 1.44
Dafabet 5.20 4.50 1.50
Marathonbet 5.20 4.33 1.44
Pinnacle 5.81 4.63 1.50
SBO 4.73 4.05 1.45
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.44

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.20 ▲ +0.20
X 4.37 ▲ +0.07
2 1.45 ▼ -0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .