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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC

0 – 4 Full time

3′Lucas Tuta
14′Krzysztof Piątek
37′Tiago Silva
55′Tahsin JamshidAlmoez Ali
63′Abdullah AbdulsalamAhmad Al-Saeed
63′Mowafak AwadAbdelkarim Hassan
67′Sekou Oumar Yansané
71′Marco Verratti
72′Almoez Ali
74′Ahmed SuhailAli Assadalla
74′Tiago SilvaPablo Mari
78′Sekou Oumar YansanéAmidou Doumbouya
78′Sultan Al-BrakeMubarak Shanan Hamza
84′Nassim BenaissaOmar Ali
87′Lucas TutaAbdalla Mugib Gamer
90′Mubarak Shanan Hamza
90′Jeison Murillo

Al-Shamal SC Stadium, Gray Shamal

Al Shamal 31%
Draw 26%
Al-Duhail SC 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 6
55 Possession % 45
6 Corners 6
9 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 3
427 Accurate passes 332

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl ShamalDrawAl-Duhail SC
Model30.3%27.3%42.5%
Market30.9%26.1%43.0%
Final30.8%26.4%42.8%
Edge-0.7%+1.2%-0.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al Shamal ↓ / Al-Duhail SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Al Shamal and Al-Duhail SC expected goals

Al Shamal 1.27
Al-Duhail SC 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.82

Al Shamal and Al-Duhail SC attack and defence ratings

Al Shamal

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Al-Duhail SC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC: result vs prediction

Al Shamal 0 – 4 Al-Duhail SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Duhail SC 42.8% 2.33 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al Shamal30.8%
Draw26.4%
Al-Duhail SC42.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.5%
Under 2.546.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.8%
No42.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.2%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.2%
Handicap -1Al-Duhail SC win21.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-29.1%
0-18.0%

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC stats

Al Shamal and Al-Duhail SC recent form

newest first
Al Shamal DWWDLL
Al-Duhail SC DDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Al Shamal wins 0Draws 9Al-Duhail SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-17Al ShamalAl-Duhail SCStars League1-3
2025-10-25Al-Duhail SCAl ShamalStars League2-0
2025-04-05Al-Duhail SCAl ShamalStars League0-4
2024-11-01Al ShamalAl-Duhail SCStars League2-6
2024-05-06Al-Duhail SCAl ShamalEmir Cup3-1
2024-03-15Al-Duhail SCAl ShamalStars League3-1
2023-10-28Al ShamalAl-Duhail SCStars League1-2
2023-09-10Al-Duhail SCAl ShamalQSL Cup2-1
2023-05-08Al-Duhail SCAl ShamalStars League5-2
2023-01-23Al ShamalAl-Duhail SCStars League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al Shamal vs Al-Duhail SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.9%, draw 26.1%, away 43.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.98 3.48 2.07
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.05
BetVictor 3.00 3.50 2.10
Betano 2.95 3.50 2.20
Betfair 2.90 3.60 2.05
Dafabet 2.95 3.55 2.19
Marathonbet 2.91 3.48 2.05
Pinnacle 3.14 3.60 2.20
SBO 2.69 3.16 2.16
William Hill 3.00 3.20 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.95 ▼ -0.15
X 3.50 ▲ +0.01
2 2.12 ▲ +0.08

2 snapshots recorded, from .