Al Shahaniya
vs
Lusail City
1 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Ibrahima Diallo | ||
| 45′ | Francesco AntonucciMoameen Mutasem | ||
| 54′ | Mohamed Abdelfatah Surag | ||
| 72′ | Mohamed Abdelfatah SuragLucas Gabriel Ribeiro Firmo | ||
| 78′ | Naif Al-HadhramiKhaled Mansour | ||
| 81′ | Moameen Mutasem | ||
| 83′ | Amin PilaliMohamed Khaled | ||
| 89′ | Hamidreza Firouzi | ||
| 90′ | Khaled MohammedMuhammad Taher Khan | ||
| 90′ | Omid EbrahimiTiago Geralnik | ||
| 90′ | Mohamed AiashSaud Jjbril |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 279 | Accurate passes | 400 |
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City
| Probability | Al Shahaniya | Draw | Lusail City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 24.8% | 47.7% |
| Market | 44.4% | 25.3% | 30.3% |
| Final | 40.2% | 25.2% | 34.7% |
| Edge | -4.2% | -0.1% | +4.3% |
Why Al Shahaniya
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Shahaniya and Lusail City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Al Shahaniya and Lusail City attack and defence ratings
Al Shahaniya
Lusail City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City: result vs prediction
Al Shahaniya 1 – 0 Lusail City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shahaniya | 40.2% | 2.49 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shahaniya | 40.2% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Lusail City | 34.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.5% |
| No | 36.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Shahaniya win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 72.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 6.9% |
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City stats
Al Shahaniya and Lusail City recent form
| Al Shahaniya |
DLWLWD |
| Lusail City |
DWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | QSL Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-12 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-10 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-07 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 0-2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 0-1 |
| 2021-02-15 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-25 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-20 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 25.3%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.54 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.54 | 2.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.61 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .