Al Shahaniya
vs
Lusail City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Shahaniya
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City
| Probability | Al Shahaniya | Draw | Lusail City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.9% | 24.9% | 47.2% |
| Market | 44.4% | 25.3% | 30.3% |
| Final | 40.3% | 25.2% | 34.5% |
| Edge | -16.5% | -0.4% | +16.8% |
Why Al Shahaniya
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City match preview
In the upcoming Stars League match, Al Shahaniya faces Lusail City with a probability of 41% for a home win, while Lusail City stands at 34% for an away victory, and a draw is estimated at 25%. Our model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Al Shahaniya, with an expected goals tally of 1.38 for them and 1.81 for Lusail City.
Recent form shows Al Shahaniya with two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Lusail City has two draws, a win, and a loss in the same period. Historically, Al Shahaniya has had the upper hand in their last 10 encounters, securing 5 wins and 4 draws against Lusail City's single victory. The confidence grade for this match is rated at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Shahaniya and Lusail City expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Al Shahaniya and Lusail City attack and defence ratings
Al Shahaniya
Lusail City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shahaniya | 40.3% | 2.48 | -16.5% | 2.14 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Shahaniya | 40.3% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Lusail City | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Shahaniya win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.1% | |
| Loss | 72.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.0% |
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City stats
Al Shahaniya and Lusail City recent form
| Al Shahaniya |
DLWLWD |
| Lusail City |
DWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | QSL Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-12 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-01 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-10 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-07 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 0-2 |
| 2021-09-25 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 0-1 |
| 2021-02-15 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-25 | Lusail City | Al Shahaniya | Second Division | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-20 | Al Shahaniya | Lusail City | Second Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Shahaniya vs Lusail City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 25.3%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.54 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.54 | 2.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.46 | 3.23 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .