Al Sadd
vs
Al-Duhail SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Sadd
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC
| Probability | Al Sadd | Draw | Al-Duhail SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 22.2% | 34.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.6% | 22.2% | 34.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Al Sadd
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC match preview
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC are set to clash in the Stars League, with Al Sadd holding a 44% probability of winning compared to Al-Duhail SC's 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Al Sadd, with an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, as there is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Al Sadd has been dominant with six consecutive wins, while Al-Duhail SC has recorded four wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. Historically, in their last two encounters, Al Sadd has secured one victory and one draw against Al-Duhail SC, who have yet to win. The expected goals for Al Sadd are 2.09, while Al-Duhail SC is projected at 1.85.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.98
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC attack and defence ratings
Al Sadd
Al-Duhail SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 43.6% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Al-Duhail SC | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.6% |
| No | 25.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Sadd win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.3% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC stats
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC recent form
| Al Sadd |
LWWWWW |
| Al-Duhail SC |
WDDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | Al-Duhail SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Al Sadd | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.