Al Sadd
vs
Al-Duhail SC
2 – 3 Full time
| 9′ | Jean-Charles Castelletto | ||
| 28′ | Sultan Al-Brake | ||
| 32′ | Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva | ||
| 45′ | Yusuf Abdurisag | ||
| 46′ | Roberto Firmino | ||
| 51′ | Almoez AliTahsin Jamshid | ||
| 54′ | Pedro Miguel | ||
| 60′ | Assim MadiboMubarak Shanan Hamza | ||
| 63′ | Yusuf AbdurisagHashim Ali | ||
| 63′ | Giovani Henrique Amorim da SilvaAgustin soria | ||
| 63′ | Mohamed CamaraMohamed Manai | ||
| 73′ | Bassam Al-Rawi | ||
| 80′ | Pedro MiguelYounes El Hannach | ||
| 82′ | Marco VerrattiAmidou Doumbouya | ||
| 87′ | Krzysztof Piątek | ||
| 87′ | Boualem Khoukhi | ||
| 89′ | Alessio RomagnoliTarek Salman | ||
| 90′ | Tahsin Jamshid |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 12 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 9 | Saves | 3 |
| 349 | Accurate passes | 328 |
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC
| Probability | Al Sadd | Draw | Al-Duhail SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 22.2% | 39.5% |
| Market | 49.0% | 23.5% | 27.5% |
| Final | 46.3% | 23.2% | 30.5% |
| Edge | -2.7% | -0.3% | +3.0% |
Why Al Sadd
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.98
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC attack and defence ratings
Al Sadd
Al-Duhail SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC: result vs prediction
Al Sadd 2 – 3 Al-Duhail SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 46.3% | 2.16 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Sadd | 46.3% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Al-Duhail SC | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.3% |
| No | 24.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Sadd win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.1% |
| 1-2 | 7.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC stats
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC recent form
| Al Sadd |
LWWWWW |
| Al-Duhail SC |
WDDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al Sadd and Al-Duhail SC going into this match
Al Sadd record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 4.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Al-Duhail SC record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Al-Duhail SC | Al Sadd | Emir Cup | 1-4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Al-Duhail SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-25 | Al Sadd | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Al Sadd | Al-Duhail SC | Qatar Cup | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Al Sadd | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Al-Duhail SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 5-1 |
| 2024-05-18 | Al-Duhail SC | Al Sadd | Emir Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-05 | Al-Duhail SC | Al Sadd | Stars League | 3-1 |
| 2023-12-13 | Al Sadd | Al-Duhail SC | Stars League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al Sadd vs Al-Duhail SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 23.5%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.86 | 3.39 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.90 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.86 | 3.32 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .