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Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha

3 – 0 Full time

17′Talal Al Shila
25′Ahmed Alaaeldin
36′Róger Guedes
39′Ahmed Alaaeldin
45′Ahmed AlaaeldinAhmed Al-Rawi
45′Talal Al ShilaYounis Hussein Abdelrahman
48′Borja Jiménez Sáez
70′Ahmed Al Minhali
71′Ahmed Al MinhaliDaouda Diakite
71′OtávioAhmed Al-Ganehi
73′Róger Guedes
78′Gabriel PereiraJulien De Sart
78′Michel VlapLuiz Junior
78′Ghanem Al-MinhaliMohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq
78′Benjamin BourigeaudRobin Tihi
84′Diogo AmaroAbdulaziz Hatim
87′Ismaeel MohammadHamad Mansour
90′Ayoub Amraoui

Ahmed bin Ali Stadium, Lai Yang

Al-Rayyan SC 56%
Draw 23%
Al Ahli Doha 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
46 Possession % 54
0 Corners 4
20 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 3
1 Saves 2
367 Accurate passes 446

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Rayyan SCDrawAl Ahli Doha
Model51.9%24.3%23.8%
Market57.1%22.4%20.4%
Final55.8%22.9%21.3%
Edge-5.2%+1.9%+3.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Al-Rayyan SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Rayyan SC ↓ / Al Ahli Doha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Al-Rayyan SC and Al Ahli Doha expected goals

Al-Rayyan SC 1.91
Al Ahli Doha 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.16

Al-Rayyan SC and Al Ahli Doha attack and defence ratings

Al-Rayyan SC

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Al Ahli Doha

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha: result vs prediction

Al-Rayyan SC 3 – 0 Al Ahli Doha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Rayyan SC 55.8% 1.79 -5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.8% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.1% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Rayyan SC55.8%
Draw22.9%
Al Ahli Doha21.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.2%
Under 2.538.8%
Both teams to scoreYes61.8%
No38.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)77.1%
X2 (draw or away)44.2%
Handicap -1Al-Rayyan SC win30.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss48.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha stats

Al-Rayyan SC and Al Ahli Doha recent form

newest first
Al-Rayyan SC DWWWWD
Al Ahli Doha WDLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Al-Rayyan SC wins 1Draws 3Al Ahli Doha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22Al-Rayyan SCAl Ahli DohaStars League2-1
2025-09-21Al Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SCStars League0-3
2025-05-18Al Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SCEmir Cup0-3
2025-03-29Al Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SCStars League1-0
2024-11-10Al Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SCQSL Cup3-2
2024-10-26Al-Rayyan SCAl Ahli DohaStars League2-2
2024-04-24Al-Rayyan SCAl Ahli DohaStars League4-1
2023-12-02Al Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SCStars League0-4
2023-02-13Al Ahli DohaAl-Rayyan SCStars League0-4
2022-08-23Al-Rayyan SCAl Ahli DohaStars League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Rayyan SC vs Al Ahli Doha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 22.9%, away 21.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.73 3.95 3.85
1xBet 1.60 4.05 4.39
888Sport 1.67 3.75 4.00
Bet365 1.55 4.00 4.50
BetVictor 1.57 4.10 4.50
Betano 1.72 3.95 4.00
Betfair 1.70 4.10 3.90
Dafabet 1.69 4.00 4.10
Marathonbet 1.58 4.05 4.33
Pinnacle 1.63 4.38 4.68
Superbet 1.70 4.00 4.10
William Hill 1.60 3.90 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.59 ▼ -0.01
X 4.05 ▼ -0.21
2 4.45 ▼ -0.10

12 snapshots recorded, from .