Al-Arabi SC
vs
Al-Rayyan SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al-Rayyan SC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.03.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC
| Probability | Al-Arabi SC | Draw | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.6% | 23.8% | 57.5% |
| Market | 28.7% | 23.6% | 47.6% |
| Final | 26.2% | 23.7% | 50.1% |
| Edge | -2.5% | +0.1% | +2.5% |
Why Al-Rayyan SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Al-Rayyan SC below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (our 50.1% × 1.93 − 1).
Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC match preview
In the upcoming Stars League match, Al-Arabi SC faces Al-Rayyan SC with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Al-Arabi SC has a 19% chance of winning, while Al-Rayyan SC is favored with a 58% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 56%, and there is a 57% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
Recent form indicates that Al-Arabi SC has recorded one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses. In contrast, Al-Rayyan SC has shown stronger performance, with three wins and two draws in their last six outings. Historically, in their last two encounters, Al-Arabi SC has not secured a win, with one draw and one victory for Al-Rayyan SC.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Al-Arabi SC and Al-Rayyan SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Al-Arabi SC and Al-Rayyan SC attack and defence ratings
Al-Arabi SC
Al-Rayyan SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Rayyan SC | 50.1% | 2.00 | +2.5% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Arabi SC | 26.2% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Al-Rayyan SC | 50.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Rayyan SC win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 42.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC stats
Al-Arabi SC and Al-Rayyan SC recent form
| Al-Arabi SC |
LWWDWD |
| Al-Rayyan SC |
WDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Al-Arabi SC and Al-Rayyan SC season so far
Al-Arabi SC record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Rayyan SC record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Al-Arabi SC | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-27 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-26 | Al-Arabi SC | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-07 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Arabi SC | QSL Cup | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-01 | Al-Arabi SC | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 2-3 |
| 2023-09-23 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-04 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Arabi SC | Stars League | 0-3 |
| 2022-10-15 | Al-Rayyan SC | Al-Arabi SC | QSL Cup | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-11 | Al-Arabi SC | Al-Rayyan SC | Stars League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Al-Arabi SC vs Al-Rayyan SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 23.6%, away 47.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.80 | 1.92 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.90 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.90 | 1.93 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 4.00 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28 | 4.20 | 1.92 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.75 | 1.91 |