Garuda Lions
Today
Stars League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha

2 – 2 Full time

Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha

Al-Arabi SC 47%
Draw 24%
Al Ahli Doha 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAl-Arabi SCDrawAl Ahli Doha
Model43.6%25.6%30.8%
Market47.5%23.6%28.8%
Final46.5%24.1%29.3%
Edge-1.0%+0.5%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Al-Arabi SC ↓ / Al Ahli Doha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Al-Arabi SC and Al Ahli Doha expected goals

Al-Arabi SC 1.71
Al Ahli Doha 1.42

Total expected goals: 3.13

Al-Arabi SC and Al Ahli Doha attack and defence ratings

Al-Arabi SC

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Al Ahli Doha

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha: result vs prediction

Al-Arabi SC 2 – 2 Al Ahli Doha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Stars League

Before and after this match

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al-Arabi SC 46.5% 2.15 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.4% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Al-Arabi SC46.5%
Draw24.1%
Al Ahli Doha29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.5%
Under 2.539.5%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1Al-Arabi SC win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss56.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha stats

Al-Arabi SC and Al Ahli Doha recent form

newest first
Al-Arabi SC DLWWDW
Al Ahli Doha WDLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Al-Arabi SC and Al Ahli Doha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Al-Arabi SC record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al Ahli Doha record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Al-Arabi SC wins 3Draws 2Al Ahli Doha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-13Al Ahli DohaAl-Arabi SCStars League1-1
2025-11-09Al-Arabi SCAl Ahli DohaStars League1-0
2025-02-23Al-Arabi SCAl Ahli DohaStars League4-2
2024-09-22Al Ahli DohaAl-Arabi SCStars League3-3
2024-08-30Al-Arabi SCAl Ahli DohaQSL Cup1-0
2024-03-16Al Ahli DohaAl-Arabi SCStars League1-1
2023-11-11Al-Arabi SCAl Ahli DohaQSL Cup0-6
2023-10-29Al-Arabi SCAl Ahli DohaStars League2-3
2023-04-13Al-Arabi SCAl Ahli DohaStars League4-3
2023-01-05Al Ahli DohaAl-Arabi SCStars League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Al-Arabi SC vs Al Ahli Doha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.5%, draw 23.6%, away 28.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.85 3.88 3.24
Bet365 1.95 3.70 2.90
BetVictor 1.93 3.80 3.13
Betano 1.95 3.90 3.20
Betfair 1.87 3.90 3.10
Dafabet 1.96 3.95 3.20
Marathonbet 1.83 3.88 3.18
Pinnacle 1.98 4.32 3.22
William Hill 1.91 3.80 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 —
X 3.88 —
2 3.18 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .