USM Alger
vs
MC Oran
Garuda Lions Prediction: USM Alger
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
USM Alger vs MC Oran overview
Garuda Lions analysis: USM Alger vs MC Oran
| Probability | USM Alger | Draw | MC Oran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 32.9% | 24.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.5% | 32.9% | 24.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
USM Alger and MC Oran expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.68
USM Alger and MC Oran attack and defence ratings
USM Alger
MC Oran
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
USM Alger vs MC Oran markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 42.5% |
| Draw | 32.9% | |
| MC Oran | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | USM Alger win | 15.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
USM Alger vs MC Oran stats
USM Alger and MC Oran recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
USM Alger and MC Oran season so far
USM Alger record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MC Oran record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.
USM Alger vs MC Oran head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | MC Oran | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-08 | USM Alger | MC Oran | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.