Panthers
vs
USM Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: Panthers
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Panthers vs USM Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Panthers vs USM Alger
| Probability | Panthers | Draw | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 26.5% | 31.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.4% | 26.5% | 31.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Panthers vs USM Alger match preview
In the upcoming CAF Confederation Cup match, Panthers are set to face USM Alger. According to our model, Panthers have a 42% probability of winning, while USM Alger stands at 31%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Panthers, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Panthers is 1.61 compared to USM Alger's 1.35.
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 60% probability for both teams to find the net. Additionally, there is a 57% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals. Recent form indicates that Panthers have won one and lost one of their last two matches, while USM Alger has a mixed record with two wins, one loss, one draw, and one additional draw in their last six games.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Panthers and USM Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Panthers and USM Alger attack and defence ratings
Panthers
USM Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Panthers vs USM Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthers | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthers | 42.4% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| USM Alger | 31.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Panthers win | 22.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |