CAF Confederation Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
1º de Agosto
vs
Virunga
1 – 0 Full time
| 87′ | 1º de Agosto |
1º de Agosto
56%
Draw
28%
Virunga
16%
1º de Agosto vs Virunga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 1º de Agosto vs Virunga
| Probability | 1º de Agosto | Draw | Virunga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 28.1% | 15.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.3% | 28.1% | 15.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why 1º de Agosto
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
1º de Agosto and Virunga expected goals
1º de Agosto
1.53
Virunga
0.68
Total expected goals: 2.21
1º de Agosto and Virunga attack and defence ratings
1º de Agosto
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Virunga
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
1º de Agosto vs Virunga: result vs prediction
1º de Agosto 1 – 0 Virunga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
1º de Agosto vs Virunga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1º de Agosto | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1º de Agosto | 56.3% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Virunga | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.0% |
| No | 60.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | 1º de Agosto win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.6% |
| 2-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.6% |
1º de Agosto vs Virunga stats
1º de Agosto and Virunga recent form
| 1º de Agosto |
WWWDL |
| Virunga |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
1º de Agosto vs Virunga head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
11º de Agosto wins
0Draws
0Virunga wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Virunga | 1º de Agosto | CAF Confederation Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.