CAF Confederation Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Virunga
vs
1º de Agosto
1 – 2 Full time
Virunga
36%
Draw
35%
1º de Agosto
28%
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Virunga vs 1º de Agosto
| Probability | Virunga | Draw | 1º de Agosto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 35.4% | 28.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.2% | 35.4% | 28.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
55%
3+ goals
27%
No goals
18%
Virunga and 1º de Agosto expected goals
Virunga
0.97
1º de Agosto
0.83
Total expected goals: 1.81
Virunga and 1º de Agosto attack and defence ratings
Virunga
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.83 -17%
1º de Agosto
Attack
1.06 +6%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto: result vs prediction
Virunga 1 – 2 1º de Agosto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virunga | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virunga | 36.2% |
| Draw | 35.4% | |
| 1º de Agosto | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Virunga win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.8% |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto stats
Virunga and 1º de Agosto recent form
| Virunga |
W |
| 1º de Agosto |
WWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.