Virunga
vs
1º de Agosto
Garuda Lions Prediction: Virunga
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Virunga vs 1º de Agosto
| Probability | Virunga | Draw | 1º de Agosto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 35.3% | 27.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.5% | 35.3% | 27.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto match preview
Virunga faces 1º de Agosto in the CAF Confederation Cup with a probability of 38% for a Virunga win, 35% for a draw, and 27% for a 1º de Agosto victory according to our model. The most likely scoreline is a 1-0 win for Virunga, which has a 15% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Virunga stand at 1.00, while 1º de Agosto has an expected goals figure of 0.81.
In terms of recent form, Virunga comes off a win, while 1º de Agosto has recorded two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 27%, and both teams scoring is projected at 36%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Virunga and 1º de Agosto expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.80
Virunga and 1º de Agosto attack and defence ratings
Virunga
1º de Agosto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virunga | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Virunga | 37.5% |
| Draw | 35.3% | |
| 1º de Agosto | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.2% |
| No | 63.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Virunga win | 14.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.8% |
| 1-0 | 15.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Virunga vs 1º de Agosto stats
Virunga and 1º de Agosto recent form
| Virunga |
W |
| 1º de Agosto |
WWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.