CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union

1 – 4 Full time

32′S. Kane
43′B. Namboka
63′I. Ekofo
73′I. Ekofo
84′Kabuscorp
Kabuscorp 49%
Draw 30%
Maniema Union 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKabuscorpDrawManiema Union
Model46.8%31.9%21.2%
Market49.1%29.8%21.1%
Final48.5%30.4%21.1%
Edge-0.6%+0.5%+0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Kabuscorp

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.76.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kabuscorp ↓ / Maniema Union → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Kabuscorp and Maniema Union expected goals

Kabuscorp 1.25
Maniema Union 0.76

Total expected goals: 2.02

Kabuscorp and Maniema Union attack and defence ratings

Kabuscorp

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Maniema Union

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union: result vs prediction

Kabuscorp 1 – 4 Maniema Union

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kabuscorp 48.5% 2.06 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.1% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.9% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.3% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kabuscorp48.5%
Draw30.4%
Maniema Union21.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.9%
Under 2.567.1%
Both teams to scoreYes39.4%
No60.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.9%
12 (either side)69.6%
X2 (draw or away)51.5%
Handicap -1Kabuscorp win21.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss53.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.4%
0-014.5%
1-114.0%

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union stats

Kabuscorp and Maniema Union recent form

newest first
Kabuscorp WWLW
Maniema Union LWWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 29.8%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.83 3.02 4.33
Bet365 1.83 3.00 4.33
Marathonbet 1.81 3.02 4.20
William Hill 1.85 2.80 4.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.