Kabuscorp
vs
Maniema Union
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kabuscorp
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union
| Probability | Kabuscorp | Draw | Maniema Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 31.6% | 20.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.3% | 31.6% | 20.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kabuscorp
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.74.
Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union match preview
Kabuscorp and Maniema Union are set to clash in the CAF Confederation Cup on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Kabuscorp holds a 48% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 32% and Maniema Union at 20%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Kabuscorp, with an expected goals tally of 1.28 for Kabuscorp and 0.74 for Maniema Union.
In terms of recent form, Kabuscorp has recorded two wins followed by a loss and two more wins, while Maniema Union has experienced a mixed run with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33%, and both teams scoring is at 39%, indicating a potentially tight contest.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kabuscorp and Maniema Union expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Kabuscorp and Maniema Union attack and defence ratings
Kabuscorp
Maniema Union
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabuscorp | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kabuscorp | 48.3% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Maniema Union | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabuscorp win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Kabuscorp vs Maniema Union stats
Kabuscorp and Maniema Union recent form
| Kabuscorp |
WWLW |
| Maniema Union |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.