Maniema Union
vs
Kabuscorp
4 – 1 Full time
Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp
| Probability | Maniema Union | Draw | Kabuscorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 23.2% | 14.3% |
| Market | 53.9% | 24.9% | 21.2% |
| Final | 56.0% | 24.5% | 19.5% |
| Edge | +2.2% | -0.4% | -1.7% |
Why Maniema Union
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Maniema Union below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maniema Union and Kabuscorp expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Maniema Union and Kabuscorp attack and defence ratings
Maniema Union
Kabuscorp
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp: result vs prediction
Maniema Union 4 – 1 Kabuscorp
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maniema Union | 56.0% | 1.79 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Maniema Union win | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maniema Union | 56.0% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Kabuscorp | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maniema Union win | 38.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.7% |
| 1-1 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 11.1% |
Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp stats
Maniema Union and Kabuscorp recent form
| Maniema Union |
WLWWLW |
| Kabuscorp |
LWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Kabuscorp | Maniema Union | CAF Confederation Cup | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maniema Union vs Kabuscorp odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 24.9%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.61 | 4.24 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .