CAF Confederation Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Durban City
vs
ASPL 2000
3 – 1 Full time
Durban City
35%
Draw
37%
ASPL 2000
28%
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Durban City vs ASPL 2000
| Probability | Durban City | Draw | ASPL 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 37.4% | 27.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.8% | 37.4% | 27.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
50%
3+ goals
22%
No goals
21%
Durban City and ASPL 2000 expected goals
Durban City
0.87
ASPL 2000
0.76
Total expected goals: 1.63
Durban City and ASPL 2000 attack and defence ratings
Durban City
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
0.83 -17%
ASPL 2000
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Durban City vs ASPL 2000: result vs prediction
Durban City 3 – 1 ASPL 2000
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durban City | 34.8% |
| Draw | 37.4% | |
| ASPL 2000 | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.2% |
| No | 67.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Durban City win | 12.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.9% |
| 1-0 | 15.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 stats
Durban City and ASPL 2000 recent form
| Durban City |
LDLWWD |
| ASPL 2000 |
WD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.