Durban City
vs
ASPL 2000
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Durban City vs ASPL 2000
| Probability | Durban City | Draw | ASPL 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 37.5% | 25.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.7% | 37.5% | 25.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 match preview
Durban City faces ASPL 2000 in the CAF Confederation Cup with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Durban City has a 37% chance of winning, while a draw is slightly more likely at 38%. ASPL 2000 holds a 26% probability of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, with a 21% prediction, indicating a potentially defensive matchup.
In terms of expected goals, Durban City is projected to score 0.90, while ASPL 2000 is forecasted to net 0.71. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 22%, and both teams scoring sits at 31%. Recent form shows Durban City with a mixed record of D-L-W-W-D-W, while ASPL 2000 has recorded a win and a draw in their last two matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Durban City and ASPL 2000 expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.61
Durban City and ASPL 2000 attack and defence ratings
Durban City
ASPL 2000
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durban City | 36.7% |
| Draw | 37.5% | |
| ASPL 2000 | 25.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.5% |
| No | 68.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Durban City win | 13.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.3% |
| 1-0 | 16.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Durban City vs ASPL 2000 stats
Durban City and ASPL 2000 recent form
| Durban City |
DLWWDW |
| ASPL 2000 |
WD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.