ASPL 2000
vs
Durban City
0 – 3 Full time
ASPL 2000 vs Durban City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASPL 2000 vs Durban City
| Probability | ASPL 2000 | Draw | Durban City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 33.0% | 29.6% |
| Market | 7.9% | 17.5% | 74.6% |
| Final | 15.3% | 21.4% | 63.4% |
| Edge | +7.4% | +3.9% | -11.3% |
Why Durban City
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ASPL 2000 and Durban City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
ASPL 2000 and Durban City attack and defence ratings
ASPL 2000
Durban City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ASPL 2000 vs Durban City: result vs prediction
ASPL 2000 0 – 3 Durban City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
ASPL 2000 vs Durban City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durban City | 63.4% | 1.58 | -11.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASPL 2000 | 15.3% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Durban City | 63.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Durban City win | 11.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 70.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-0 | 12.8% |
ASPL 2000 vs Durban City stats
ASPL 2000 and Durban City recent form
| ASPL 2000 |
LWD |
| Durban City |
WLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
ASPL 2000 vs Durban City head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Durban City | ASPL 2000 | CAF Confederation Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ASPL 2000 vs Durban City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.9%, draw 17.5%, away 74.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 11.50 | 5.15 | 1.21 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .