Auckland
vs
Wellington Phoenix
0 – 0 Full time
| 73′ | R. DuranR. Bidois | ||
| 79′ | C. ElliotL. Brook | ||
| 82′ | S. Cosgrove | ||
| 84′ | L. Brook | ||
| 84′ | C. Piper | ||
| 88′ | L. BaylissI. Prins | ||
| 90′ | A. Rufer |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 301 | Accurate passes | 184 |
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix
| Probability | Auckland | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 26.5% | 31.8% |
| Market | 43.6% | 26.7% | 29.7% |
| Final | 43.1% | 26.6% | 30.2% |
| Edge | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Auckland and Wellington Phoenix expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Auckland and Wellington Phoenix attack and defence ratings
Auckland
Wellington Phoenix
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix: result vs prediction
Auckland 0 – 0 Wellington Phoenix
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auckland | 43.1% | 2.32 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auckland | 43.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Wellington Phoenix | 30.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Auckland win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix stats
Auckland and Wellington Phoenix recent form
| Auckland |
DLWWWD |
| Wellington Phoenix |
WWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Wellington Phoenix | Auckland | A-League | 0-5 |
| 2025-12-06 | Auckland | Wellington Phoenix | A-League | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Wellington Phoenix | Auckland | A-League | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Auckland | Wellington Phoenix | A-League | 6-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Auckland | Wellington Phoenix | A-League | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Wellington Phoenix | Auckland | A-League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Auckland vs Wellington Phoenix odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 26.7%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.65 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.12 | 3.52 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.24 | 3.64 | 3.17 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.15 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .