Macarthur
vs
Perth Glory
2 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | A. Lebib | ||
| 36′ | L. Rose | ||
| 52′ | H. HoreJ. Kucharski | ||
| 55′ | C. PainB. Oliveira | ||
| 55′ | L. VickeryR. Fraser | ||
| 59′ | T. Lawrence | ||
| 63′ | S. ColakovskiS. Sutton | ||
| 63′ | T. LawrenceP. Jacobsz | ||
| 64′ | A. StamatelopoulosM. Toure | ||
| 70′ | B. Gibson | ||
| 73′ | W. FreneyC. Nieuwenhof | ||
| 73′ | S. DespotovskiG. De Abreu | ||
| 73′ | O. RandazzoD. Bosnjak | ||
| 73′ | B. GibsonJ. Machar Reec | ||
| 86′ | R. Fraser | ||
| 89′ | J. Aspropotamitis | ||
| 90′ | D. Bosnjak |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 313 | Accurate passes | 312 |
Macarthur vs Perth Glory overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Macarthur vs Perth Glory
| Probability | Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 24.0% | 37.7% |
| Market | 48.4% | 25.2% | 26.4% |
| Final | 45.9% | 24.9% | 29.2% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -0.3% | +2.8% |
Why Macarthur
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Macarthur and Perth Glory expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Macarthur and Perth Glory attack and defence ratings
Macarthur
Perth Glory
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory: result vs prediction
Macarthur 2 – 1 Perth Glory
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Macarthur vs Perth Glory markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macarthur | 45.9% | 2.18 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macarthur | 45.9% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Perth Glory | 29.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.7% |
| No | 30.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Macarthur win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Macarthur vs Perth Glory stats
Macarthur and Perth Glory recent form
| Macarthur |
WLLWWL |
| Perth Glory |
WDWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Perth Glory | Macarthur | A-League | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Macarthur | Perth Glory | A-League | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Macarthur | Perth Glory | A-League | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-27 | Perth Glory | Macarthur | A-League | 0-3 |
| 2024-10-20 | Macarthur | Perth Glory | A-League | 6-1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Macarthur | Perth Glory | A-League | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Perth Glory | Macarthur | A-League | 3-2 |
| 2023-07-18 | Perth Glory | Macarthur | Australia Cup | 0-4 |
| 2023-04-01 | Perth Glory | Macarthur | A-League | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-18 | Macarthur | Perth Glory | A-League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Macarthur vs Perth Glory odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.2%, draw 25.1%, away 26.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.84 | 3.65 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.85 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.52 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.74 | 3.82 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 3.22 | 3.26 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .