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A-League · Full time ·Matchday 1

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers

0 – 0 Full time

12′A. LualA. Waraga
33′M. Di Pizio
51′J. Hollman
52′N. Milanovic
62′A. Popovic
65′G. Ferreyra
66′A. ToureA. Akon
69′N. MilanovicA. Hammond
75′O. Sunday
80′A. ThurgateN. Barrie
80′A. GersbachJ. Carluccio
80′L. GillionH. Ibusuki
80′O. SundayG. Popovic
80′J. HollmanW. Kamijo
81′T. SekineJ. Overy
86′D. Scicluna
90′B. Garuccio
90′J. Carluccio

Allianz Stadium, SydneyReferee: Alexander George King, Australia

Sydney 44%
Draw 27%
Western Sydney Wanderers 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 2
45 Possession % 55
2 Corners 3
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
2 Saves 1
158 Accurate passes 228

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySydneyDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
Model52.1%29.1%18.9%
Market41.7%26.0%32.3%
Final44.3%26.8%29.0%
Edge+2.6%+0.8%-3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Sydney

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sydney below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sydney ↓ / Western Sydney → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 14% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Sydney and Western Sydney Wanderers expected goals

Sydney 1.46
Western Sydney Wanderers 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.25

Sydney and Western Sydney Wanderers attack and defence ratings

Sydney

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Western Sydney Wanderers

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers: result vs prediction

Sydney 0 – 0 Western Sydney Wanderers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 1 fixtures

A-League

Before and after this match

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sydney 44.3% 2.26 +2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 57.0% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.9% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sydney44.3%
Draw26.8%
Western Sydney Wanderers29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.1%
Under 2.560.9%
Both teams to scoreYes43.0%
No57.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.7%
Handicap -1Sydney win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss47.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.2%
1-113.3%
0-011.8%

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers stats

Sydney and Western Sydney Wanderers recent form

newest first
Sydney LDDWDD
Western Sydney Wanderers LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Sydney wins 1Draws 2Western Sydney Wanderers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Western Sydney WanderersSydneyA-League0-2
2026-01-31SydneyWestern Sydney WanderersA-League4-1
2025-11-29Western Sydney WanderersSydneyA-League1-0
2025-02-08SydneyWestern Sydney WanderersA-League3-3
2024-11-23SydneyWestern Sydney WanderersA-League4-2
2024-10-19Western Sydney WanderersSydneyA-League1-2
2024-04-13SydneyWestern Sydney WanderersA-League2-1
2024-03-02Western Sydney WanderersSydneyA-League1-4
2023-11-25SydneyWestern Sydney WanderersA-League0-1
2023-05-06Western Sydney WanderersSydneyA-League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 26.0%, away 32.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.26 3.71 3.08
Bet365 2.25 3.70 2.90
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.30 3.60 2.95
Betfair 2.25 3.60 2.90
Marathonbet 2.18 3.58 2.97
Pinnacle 2.27 3.85 3.00
SBO 2.23 3.29 2.80
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▲ +0.20
X 3.60 ▼ -0.10
2 2.90 ▼ -0.40

13 snapshots recorded, from .