Western Sydney Wanderers
vs
Auckland
Garuda Lions Prediction: Auckland
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland
| Probability | Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Auckland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.5% | 22.7% | 62.9% |
| Market | 39.0% | 26.9% | 34.1% |
| Final | 32.8% | 25.9% | 41.3% |
| Edge | -24.5% | -4.3% | +28.8% |
Why Auckland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Auckland below the model: +28.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.87, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland match preview
In the upcoming match between Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Auckland holding a 41% chance of victory compared to the Wanderers' 33%. Recent form highlights a stark contrast, as Western Sydney has struggled with six consecutive matches without a win, while Auckland is on a positive streak, having won three of their last six games.
The expected goals suggest a significant disparity, with the Wanderers projected to score 0.87 and Auckland 2.01. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-2, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring is estimated at 51%. The head-to-head record also favors Auckland, who have won both of their last encounters against Western Sydney.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland attack and defence ratings
Western Sydney Wanderers
Auckland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Auckland | 41.3% | 2.42 | +28.8% | 2.87 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Auckland win | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 32.8% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Auckland | 41.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Auckland win | 39.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.4% |
| 1-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.3% |
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland stats
Western Sydney Wanderers and Auckland recent form
| Western Sydney Wanderers |
DLLLLL |
| Auckland |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | Western Sydney Wanderers | Auckland | A-League | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Auckland | Western Sydney Wanderers | A-League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Auckland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 26.9%, away 35.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.61 | 2.87 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.50 | 2.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.57 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .