Velež
vs
Borac Banja Luka
Garuda Lions Prediction: Borac Banja Luka
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Velež vs Borac Banja Luka
| Probability | Velež | Draw | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.4% | 25.0% | 61.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 13.4% | 25.0% | 61.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Borac Banja Luka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka match preview
Velež faces Borac Banja Luka in an upcoming match with a significant disparity in predicted outcomes. According to our model, Velež has a 13% probability of winning, while Borac Banja Luka holds a 62% chance. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 0.70 for Velež and 1.75 for Borac Banja Luka. Recent form shows Velež struggling with a record of D-L-W-L-D-L, while Borac Banja Luka has been more consistent, winning four of their last six matches.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are predicted to score with a 43% likelihood. The head-to-head record in the last five encounters indicates that Velež has not won, with 2 wins for Borac Banja Luka and 3 draws. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Velež and Borac Banja Luka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Velež and Borac Banja Luka attack and defence ratings
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Velež | 13.4% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Borac Banja Luka | 61.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win | 36.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-2 | 13.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka stats
Velež and Borac Banja Luka recent form
| Velež |
DLWLDL |
| Borac Banja Luka |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Velež and Borac Banja Luka season so far
Velež record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Borac Banja Luka record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Velež vs Borac Banja Luka head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Borac Banja Luka | Velež | Premijer Liga | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Borac Banja Luka | Velež | Premijer Liga | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Velež | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Borac Banja Luka | Velež | Premijer Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Velež | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.