Levski Sofia
vs
CSKA Sofia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Levski Sofia
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.09.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
| Probability | Levski Sofia | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.5% | 25.9% | 22.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.5% | 25.9% | 22.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Levski Sofia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.09.
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia match preview
Levski Sofia is set to face CSKA Sofia in a Bulgaria First League matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Levski Sofia holds a 51% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and CSKA Sofia at 23%. The expected goals for Levski Sofia is 1.74, compared to CSKA Sofia's 1.09. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Levski Sofia, with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Levski Sofia has recorded three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while CSKA Sofia has two wins, three draws, and one loss in the same span. The head-to-head record shows Levski Sofia with two wins, one draw, and one win for CSKA Sofia in their last four encounters. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are 54% and 56%, respectively.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia attack and defence ratings
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levski Sofia | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Levski Sofia | 51.5% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| CSKA Sofia | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Levski Sofia win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 48.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia stats
Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia recent form
| Levski Sofia |
WDWLDW |
| CSKA Sofia |
DLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia season so far
Levski Sofia record
- They have won 9 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
CSKA Sofia record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Levski Sofia | CSKA Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | CSKA Sofia | Levski Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-13 | CSKA Sofia | Levski Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Levski Sofia | CSKA Sofia | Bulgaria First League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.