Ludogorets
vs
CSKA 1948
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ludogorets
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.17.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948
| Probability | Ludogorets | Draw | CSKA 1948 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.9% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.9% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ludogorets
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.17.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 match preview
Ludogorets faces CSKA 1948 in a Bulgaria First League match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Ludogorets has a 50% probability of winning, while CSKA 1948 stands at 24%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Ludogorets are 1.75, compared to 1.17 for CSKA 1948, indicating a potential advantage for the home side. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows Ludogorets with three wins, two draws, and one loss, while CSKA 1948 has three wins and three losses in their last six matches. In their last four encounters, Ludogorets has secured one win, while CSKA 1948 has claimed three victories. The model suggests a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 attack and defence ratings
Ludogorets
CSKA 1948
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ludogorets | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ludogorets | 49.9% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| CSKA 1948 | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.2% |
| No | 41.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ludogorets win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 stats
Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 recent form
| Ludogorets |
WWWDDW |
| CSKA 1948 |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ludogorets and CSKA 1948 season so far
Ludogorets record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSKA 1948 record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | CSKA 1948 | Ludogorets | Bulgaria First League | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Ludogorets | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Ludogorets | CSKA 1948 | Bulgaria First League | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-27 | CSKA 1948 | Ludogorets | Bulgaria First League | 5-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.