Botev Plovdiv
vs
Dunav Ruse
Garuda Lions Prediction: Botev Plovdiv
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.47.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
| Probability | Botev Plovdiv | Draw | Dunav Ruse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.6% | 23.7% | 27.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.6% | 23.7% | 27.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Botev Plovdiv
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse match preview
Botev Plovdiv faces Dunav Ruse in a Bulgaria First League match on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Botev Plovdiv has a 49% probability of winning, while Dunav Ruse stands at 28%, with a 24% chance for a draw. The expected goals for Botev Plovdiv are 1.97, compared to 1.47 for Dunav Ruse. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Botev Plovdiv has recorded a mixed performance with a sequence of L-W-W-W-W-L, while Dunav Ruse's recent results show W-W-D-L-L-D. Additionally, there is a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score in this encounter. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse attack and defence ratings
Botev Plovdiv
Dunav Ruse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botev Plovdiv | 48.6% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Dunav Ruse | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botev Plovdiv win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 51.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 6.8% |
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse stats
Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse recent form
| Botev Plovdiv |
LWWWWL |
| Dunav Ruse |
WWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botev Plovdiv and Dunav Ruse season so far
Botev Plovdiv record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunav Ruse record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.