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CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Teungueth vs Colombe

0 – 2 Full time

14′Colombe
46′Colombe
Teungueth 35%
Draw 37%
Colombe 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Teungueth vs Colombe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Teungueth vs Colombe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTeunguethDrawColombe
Model38.1%46.8%15.1%
Market34.3%34.1%31.7%
Final35.2%37.3%27.5%
Edge+0.9%+3.2%-4.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why the draw in Teungueth vs Colombe

  • The market prices the draw below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Teungueth ↓ / Colombe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 37% 1 24% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 63%
2+ goals 27%
3+ goals 8%
No goals 37%

Teungueth and Colombe expected goals

Teungueth 0.67
Colombe 0.33

Total expected goals: 1.00

Teungueth and Colombe attack and defence ratings

Teungueth

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Colombe

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Teungueth vs Colombe: result vs prediction

Teungueth 0 – 2 Colombe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Teungueth vs Colombe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 37.3% 2.68 +3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 91.8% 1.09 — —
Both teams to score No 85.3% 1.17 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Teungueth35.2%
Draw37.3%
Colombe27.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.58.2%
Under 2.591.8%
Both teams to scoreYes14.7%
No85.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.5%
12 (either side)62.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Teungueth win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)26.7%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-037.3%
1-023.8%
0-111.3%

Teungueth vs Colombe stats

Teungueth and Colombe recent form

newest first
Teungueth WW
Colombe DDDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Teungueth vs Colombe head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Teungueth vs Colombe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.3%, draw 34.1%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.63 2.63 2.76
Bet365 2.45 2.75 2.90
BetVictor 2.63 2.75 2.88
Marathonbet 2.63 2.63 2.76
Pinnacle 2.59 2.63 2.78
William Hill 2.60 2.50 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.59
X 2.63 ▼ -0.27
2 2.83 ▼ -0.87

4 snapshots recorded, from .