Young Africans
vs
CFFA
Garuda Lions Prediction: Young Africans
2 β 0 Predicted score Β· 17% model probability
Young Africans vs CFFA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Young Africans vs CFFA
| Probability | Young Africans | Draw | CFFA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.3% | 17.3% | 5.3% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 77.3% | 17.3% | 5.3% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Young Africans
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Young Africans vs CFFA match preview
Young Africans are set to face CFFA in the CAF Champions League, with a strong probability of victory at 77% according to our model. Their recent form is impressive, with six consecutive matches resulting in four wins and two draws. The expected goals for Young Africans stand at 2.19, while CFFA is projected to score only 0.44, indicating a significant disparity in attacking capabilities.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 17%. Additionally, there is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 32%. CFFA's recent form includes a draw and a win, but they face a challenging opponent in Young Africans.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Young Africans and CFFA expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Young Africans and CFFA attack and defence ratings
Young Africans
CFFA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Young Africans vs CFFA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 77.3% | 1.29 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.8% | 1.47 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.7% | 1.06 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win | 53.3% | 1.87 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 77.3% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| CFFA | 5.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.2% |
| No | 67.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 22.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.3% |
| 1-0 | 15.1% | |
| 3-0 | 12.7% |
Young Africans vs CFFA stats
Young Africans and CFFA recent form
| WWDWWW | |
| DW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.