CAF Champions League Β· Β·2nd Preliminary Round

Young Africans vs CFFA

Garuda Lions Prediction: Young Africans

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 17% model probability

KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam

Young Africans 77%
Draw 17%
CFFA 5%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Young Africans wins
77%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
32%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
17% of simulated outcomes

Young Africans vs CFFA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Young Africans vs CFFA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYoung AfricansDrawCFFA
Model77.3%17.3%5.3%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final77.3%17.3%5.3%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Young Africans

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.44.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Young Africans vs CFFA match preview

Young Africans are set to face CFFA in the CAF Champions League, with a strong probability of victory at 77% according to our model. Their recent form is impressive, with six consecutive matches resulting in four wins and two draws. The expected goals for Young Africans stand at 2.19, while CFFA is projected to score only 0.44, indicating a significant disparity in attacking capabilities.

The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring at a rate of 17%. Additionally, there is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 32%. CFFA's recent form includes a draw and a win, but they face a challenging opponent in Young Africans.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Young Africans ↓ / CFFA β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 15% 2 17% 3 13% 4+ 12%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Young Africans and CFFA expected goals

Young Africans 2.19
CFFA 0.44

Total expected goals: 2.63

Young Africans and CFFA attack and defence ratings

Young Africans

Attack 1.98 +98%
Defence 0.53 -47%

CFFA

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Young Africans vs CFFA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Young Africans 77.3% 1.29 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.1% 1.96 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 67.8% 1.47 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 94.7% 1.06 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Young Africans win 53.3% 1.87 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Young Africans77.3%
Draw17.3%
CFFA5.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.9%
Under 2.551.1%
Both teams to scoreYes32.2%
No67.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)94.7%
12 (either side)82.7%
X2 (draw or away)22.7%
Handicap -1Young Africans win53.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss22.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-017.3%
1-015.1%
3-012.7%

Young Africans vs CFFA stats

Young Africans and CFFA recent form

newest first
Young Africans WWDWWW
CFFA DW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Young Africans vs CFFA head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Young Africans vs CFFA odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Young Africans Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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