CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Young Africans vs CFFA

4 – 1 Full time

27′I. Kazimoto
48′S. Mwalimu
52′S. Mwalimu
74′F. Albertini
83′J. B. Chuga

KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam

Young Africans 87%
Draw 9%
CFFA 4%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Young Africans vs CFFA overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Young Africans vs CFFA

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYoung AfricansDrawCFFA
Model89.3%8.4%2.3%
Market86.3%8.6%5.1%
Final87.1%8.6%4.4%
Edge+0.8%-0.1%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Young Africans

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.22 vs 0.47.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Young Africans ↓ / CFFA → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 13% 3 14% 4+ 25%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Young Africans and CFFA expected goals

Young Africans 3.22
CFFA 0.47

Total expected goals: 3.69

Young Africans and CFFA attack and defence ratings

Young Africans

Attack 2.00 +100%
Defence 0.62 -38%

CFFA

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Young Africans vs CFFA: result vs prediction

Young Africans 4 – 1 CFFA

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Young Africans vs CFFA markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Young Africans 87.1% 1.15 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.9% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 95.6% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 Young Africans win 73.2% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Young Africans87.1%
Draw8.6%
CFFA4.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.9%
Under 2.528.1%
Both teams to scoreYes35.9%
No64.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)95.6%
12 (either side)91.4%
X2 (draw or away)12.9%
Handicap -1Young Africans win73.2%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss11.2%
Correct score (top 3)3-014.0%
2-012.8%
4-011.4%

Young Africans vs CFFA stats

Young Africans and CFFA recent form

newest first
Young Africans WLWWDW
CFFA LDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Young Africans vs CFFA head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Young Africans wins 0Draws 0CFFA wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17CFFAYoung AfricansCAF Champions League0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Young Africans vs CFFA odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 86.3%, draw 8.6%, away 5.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.00 10.00 17.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.00 ▼ -0.04
X 10.00 ▲ +1.60
2 17.00 —

5 snapshots recorded, from .