AC Douane
vs
CR Belouizdad
Garuda Lions Prediction: AC Douane
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad
| Probability | AC Douane | Draw | CR Belouizdad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 32.4% | 32.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.7% | 32.4% | 32.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad match preview
AC Douane faces CR Belouizdad in the CAF Confederation Cup with a projected probability of 35% for a home win, while the chances for a draw and an away victory stand at 32% and 33%, respectively. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-0, with a 12% probability. The expected goals are closely matched, with AC Douane at 1.08 and CR Belouizdad at 1.04.
In terms of recent form, AC Douane has recorded a win and a draw, while CR Belouizdad is on a stronger run with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36%, and both teams scoring is projected at 44%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AC Douane and CR Belouizdad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
AC Douane and CR Belouizdad attack and defence ratings
AC Douane
CR Belouizdad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Douane | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Douane | 34.7% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| CR Belouizdad | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.1% |
| No | 55.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Douane win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.3% | |
| 1-0 | 11.6% |
AC Douane vs CR Belouizdad stats
AC Douane and CR Belouizdad recent form
| AC Douane |
WD |
| CR Belouizdad |
WWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.