CR Belouizdad
vs
AC Douane
Garuda Lions Prediction: CR Belouizdad
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CR Belouizdad vs AC Douane overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CR Belouizdad vs AC Douane
| Probability | CR Belouizdad | Draw | AC Douane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 26.8% | 17.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.8% | 26.8% | 17.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CR Belouizdad
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
CR Belouizdad vs AC Douane match preview
CR Belouizdad enters this CAF Confederation Cup match with a strong probability of winning at 59%, reflecting their recent form of three wins and two draws in their last five matches. The expected goals for CR Belouizdad stand at 1.62, suggesting they are likely to create more scoring opportunities than their opponents, AC Douane, who have an expected goals figure of 0.69.
AC Douane, on the other hand, has shown a mixed form with one win and one draw in their last two matches. The likelihood of a draw is estimated at 27%, while AC Douane's chances of winning are at 15%. The most probable scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of CR Belouizdad, with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals each sitting at 41%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CR Belouizdad and AC Douane expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
CR Belouizdad and AC Douane attack and defence ratings
CR Belouizdad
AC Douane
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
CR Belouizdad vs AC Douane markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CR Belouizdad | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CR Belouizdad | 55.8% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| AC Douane | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CR Belouizdad win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
CR Belouizdad vs AC Douane stats
CR Belouizdad and AC Douane recent form
| CR Belouizdad |
DWWWWD |
| AC Douane |
WD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.