Atlas Paillade
vs
Cannes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cannes
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 1.04.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atlas Paillade vs Cannes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlas Paillade vs Cannes
| Probability | Atlas Paillade | Draw | Cannes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.7% | 16.0% | 73.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.7% | 16.0% | 73.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cannes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.80 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Atlas Paillade vs Cannes match preview
Atlas Paillade faces Cannes in the Coupe de France with a challenging outlook, as the probabilities from our model indicate a significant advantage for Cannes at 73%, compared to Atlas Paillade's 11%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.04 for Atlas Paillade and 2.80 for Cannes.
Recent form reveals a stark contrast, with Atlas Paillade coming off a loss, while Cannes has recorded two losses followed by three consecutive wins. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 74% and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlas Paillade and Cannes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Atlas Paillade and Cannes attack and defence ratings
Atlas Paillade
Cannes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Atlas Paillade vs Cannes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cannes | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cannes win | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlas Paillade | 10.7% |
| Draw | 16.0% | |
| Cannes | 73.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 26.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cannes win | 53.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |
Atlas Paillade vs Cannes stats
Atlas Paillade and Cannes recent form
| Atlas Paillade |
L |
| Cannes |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.