Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Garuda Lions Prediction: St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
| Probability | Senlis | Draw | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 24.2% | 52.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.2% | 24.2% | 52.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.
Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Senlis faces St-Pryvé St-Hilaire with probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. According to our model, Senlis has a 23% chance of winning, while St-Pryvé St-Hilaire is favored with a 53% probability. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals for Senlis is 1.23, compared to 1.93 for St-Pryvé St-Hilaire, suggesting a potential edge for the visitors.
Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are also expected to score with a similar probability of 61%. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in these predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Senlis and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Senlis and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire attack and defence ratings
Senlis
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Senlis | 23.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 52.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.9% |
Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire stats
Senlis and St-Pryvé St-Hilaire recent form
| Senlis | no matches on record |
| St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.