Rochefort
vs
Juventus Papus
Garuda Lions Prediction: Juventus Papus
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 1.51.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Rochefort vs Juventus Papus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rochefort vs Juventus Papus
| Probability | Rochefort | Draw | Juventus Papus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.5% | 17.4% | 65.0% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 17.5% | 17.4% | 65.0% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Juventus Papus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 1.51.
Rochefort vs Juventus Papus match preview
Rochefort faces Juventus Papus in the Coupe de France on November 15, 2026. According to our model, Rochefort has a probability of 18% to win, while Juventus Papus is favored at 65%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with an 8% likelihood. The expected goals are 1.51 for Rochefort and 2.87 for Juventus Papus, indicating a significant advantage for the visitors.
In terms of scoring dynamics, our model suggests a high likelihood of goals, with an 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% probability that both teams will score. Rochefort's recent form shows a mixed bag with a record of D-W-L-L-D-W, while Juventus Papus's recent performance data is not available. The overall confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rochefort and Juventus Papus expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.38
Rochefort and Juventus Papus attack and defence ratings
Rochefort
Juventus Papus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Rochefort vs Juventus Papus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus Papus | 65.0% | 1.54 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 82.6% | 1.21 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus Papus win | 46.0% | 2.17 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rochefort | 17.5% |
| Draw | 17.4% | |
| Juventus Papus | 65.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus Papus win | 46.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.8% |
| 1-3 | 7.4% | |
| 1-1 | 6.0% |
Rochefort vs Juventus Papus stats
Rochefort and Juventus Papus recent form
| DWLLDW | |
| Juventus Papus | no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.