Coupe de France
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Balma
vs
Castanet
1 – 1 Full time
Balma
23%
Draw
24%
Castanet
53%
Balma vs Castanet overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Balma vs Castanet
| Probability | Balma | Draw | Castanet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Castanet
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.22.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
Balma and Castanet expected goals
Balma
1.22
Castanet
2.00
Total expected goals: 3.23
Balma and Castanet attack and defence ratings
Balma
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Castanet
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Balma vs Castanet: result vs prediction
Balma 1 – 1 Castanet
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Club Franciscain vs Aiglon — team news & stats
- Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes — team news & stats
- Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury
- Chambéry vs Grenoble
- Dijon vs Orleans
- St-Philbert Gd Lieu v La Roche VF — match page
- La Neuvillette v Valenciennes — match page
- Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs
Balma vs Castanet markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Castanet | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balma | 22.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Castanet | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Castanet win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Balma vs Castanet stats
Balma and Castanet recent form
| Balma |
no matches on record |
| Castanet |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.
Balma vs Castanet head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
3Balma wins
0Draws
2Castanet wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-06 | Balma | Castanet | National 3 - Group H | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-10 | Castanet | Balma | National 3 - Group H | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Balma | Castanet | National 3 - Group H | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-06 | Castanet | Balma | National 3 - Group H | 1-2 |
| 2020-10-24 | Castanet | Balma | National 3 - Group H | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.