Coupe de France
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
La Neuvillette
vs
Valenciennes
2 – 2 Full time
La Neuvillette
18%
Draw
21%
Valenciennes
60%
La Neuvillette vs Valenciennes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: La Neuvillette vs Valenciennes
| Probability | La Neuvillette | Draw | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.3% | 21.2% | 60.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.3% | 21.2% | 60.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Valenciennes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.20.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
La Neuvillette and Valenciennes expected goals
La Neuvillette
1.20
Valenciennes
2.26
Total expected goals: 3.46
La Neuvillette and Valenciennes attack and defence ratings
La Neuvillette
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Valenciennes
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
La Neuvillette vs Valenciennes: result vs prediction
La Neuvillette 2 – 2 Valenciennes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
La Neuvillette vs Valenciennes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valenciennes | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | La Neuvillette | 18.3% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| Valenciennes | 60.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valenciennes win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
La Neuvillette vs Valenciennes stats
La Neuvillette and Valenciennes recent form
| La Neuvillette |
no matches on record |
| Valenciennes |
DDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.