Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Siroco Les Abymes
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes
| Probability | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Draw | Siroco Les Abymes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.2% | 24.2% | 52.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.2% | 24.2% | 52.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Siroco Les Abymes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.23.
Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes match preview
Sporting Baie-Mahault faces Siroco Les Abymes in the Coupe de France with a kickoff scheduled for November 4, 2026. According to our model, Siroco Les Abymes holds a 53% probability of winning, while Sporting Baie-Mahault has a 23% chance, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals for this match are 1.23 for Sporting Baie-Mahault and 1.93 for Siroco Les Abymes, indicating a potential for a competitive encounter.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 61% probability that there will be over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are also expected to score, with a matching probability of 61%. In their last six encounters, Sporting Baie-Mahault has secured 2 wins, while Siroco Les Abymes has 1 win and 3 draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting Baie-Mahault and Siroco Les Abymes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Sporting Baie-Mahault and Siroco Les Abymes attack and defence ratings
Sporting Baie-Mahault
Siroco Les Abymes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siroco Les Abymes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Baie-Mahault | 23.2% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Siroco Les Abymes | 52.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Siroco Les Abymes win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 47.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.9% |
Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes stats
Sporting Baie-Mahault and Siroco Les Abymes recent form
| Sporting Baie-Mahault | no matches on record |
| Siroco Les Abymes | no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.
Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-01 | Siroco Les Abymes | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Division d'Honneur | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Siroco Les Abymes | Division d'Honneur | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Siroco Les Abymes | Division d'Honneur | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Siroco Les Abymes | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Division d'Honneur | 0-1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Siroco Les Abymes | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Division d'Honneur | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-25 | Sporting Baie-Mahault | Siroco Les Abymes | Division d'Honneur | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.