Le Puy Foot
vs
Diables Noirs
Garuda Lions Prediction: Le Puy Foot
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs
| Probability | Le Puy Foot | Draw | Diables Noirs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 32.4% | 26.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.1% | 32.4% | 26.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs match preview
Le Puy Foot enters this Coupe de France match with a probability of 41% to win against Diables Noirs, while a draw stands at 32% and a Diables Noirs victory at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 13% likelihood. Expected goals for Le Puy Foot are 1.18, compared to 0.90 for Diables Noirs, suggesting a tighter contest.
Le Puy Foot's recent form shows a mix of results, with a record of D-W-W-W-L-W, indicating some momentum despite a recent draw. In contrast, there is no recent form data available for Diables Noirs. The model suggests a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% probability that both teams will score. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Le Puy Foot and Diables Noirs expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Le Puy Foot and Diables Noirs attack and defence ratings
Le Puy Foot
Diables Noirs
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Puy Foot | 41.1% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Puy Foot | 41.1% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Diables Noirs | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Le Puy Foot win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.5% |
Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs stats
Le Puy Foot and Diables Noirs recent form
| Le Puy Foot |
DWWWLW |
| Diables Noirs | no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.