Coupe de France
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Buxerolles
vs
Sablé
0 – 7 Full time
Buxerolles
28%
Draw
26%
Sablé
47%
Buxerolles vs Sablé overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Buxerolles vs Sablé
| Probability | Buxerolles | Draw | Sablé |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 25.8% | 46.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.5% | 25.8% | 46.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sablé
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.28.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Buxerolles and Sablé expected goals
Buxerolles
1.28
Sablé
1.76
Total expected goals: 3.05
Buxerolles and Sablé attack and defence ratings
Buxerolles
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Sablé
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Buxerolles vs Sablé: result vs prediction
Buxerolles 0 – 7 Sablé
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Club Franciscain vs Aiglon — team news & stats
- Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes — team news & stats
- Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury
- Chambéry vs Grenoble
- Dijon vs Orleans
- St-Philbert Gd Lieu v La Roche VF — match page
- La Neuvillette v Valenciennes — match page
- Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs
Buxerolles vs Sablé markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sablé | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Buxerolles | 27.5% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Sablé | 46.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sablé win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 7.4% |
Buxerolles vs Sablé stats
Buxerolles and Sablé recent form
| Buxerolles |
no matches on record |
| Sablé |
DL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.