Caen PTT
vs
Chambly Thelle FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chambly Thelle FC
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC
| Probability | Caen PTT | Draw | Chambly Thelle FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.4% | 24.4% | 55.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 20.4% | 24.4% | 55.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Chambly Thelle FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.08.
Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Caen PTT faces Chambly Thelle FC with kickoff scheduled for November 14, 2026. According to our model, Caen PTT has a 20% chance of winning, while Chambly Thelle FC is favored with a 55% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 10% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 57%, and there is also a 57% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of expected goals, Caen PTT is projected to score 1.08, while Chambly Thelle FC is forecasted to net 1.89. Recent form shows Caen PTT coming off a loss, while Chambly Thelle FC has drawn their last match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC attack and defence ratings
Caen PTT
Chambly Thelle FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Saint-Omer v Vire — match page
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- Le Touquet v Avranches — match page
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Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chambly Thelle FC | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Caen PTT | 20.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Chambly Thelle FC | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chambly Thelle FC win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.1% |
Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC stats
Caen PTT and Chambly Thelle FC recent form
| Caen PTT |
L |
| Chambly Thelle FC |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.