Chatou
vs
Les Ulis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Les Ulis
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.40.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chatou vs Les Ulis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chatou vs Les Ulis
| Probability | Chatou | Draw | Les Ulis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.5% | 24.8% | 46.7% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 28.5% | 24.8% | 46.7% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Les Ulis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.40.
Chatou vs Les Ulis match preview
In the Coupe de France matchup between Chatou and Les Ulis, the probabilities suggest that Les Ulis holds a stronger position with a 46% chance of winning, compared to Chatou's 29% and a 25% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals indicate that Chatou is projected to score 1.41, while Les Ulis is forecasted to net 1.81 goals, which aligns with the model's most likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Les Ulis, occurring at a 9% probability.
Additionally, the model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will score. Chatou's recent form is not available, while Les Ulis comes into the match with a loss in their latest outing. The confidence grade for this prediction is marked as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chatou and Les Ulis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Chatou and Les Ulis attack and defence ratings
Chatou
Les Ulis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Chatou vs Les Ulis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Les Ulis | 46.7% | 2.14 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.87 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chatou | 28.5% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Les Ulis | 46.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% |
| No | 35.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Les Ulis win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
Chatou vs Les Ulis stats
Chatou and Les Ulis recent form
| no matches on record | |
| L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.