Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Chatou vs Les Ulis

Garuda Lions Prediction: Les Ulis

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.40.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Chatou 29%
Draw 25%
Les Ulis 47%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Les Ulis wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
64%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Chatou vs Les Ulis overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chatou vs Les Ulis

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChatouDrawLes Ulis
Model28.5%24.8%46.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final28.5%24.8%46.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Les Ulis

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.40.

Chatou vs Les Ulis match preview

In the Coupe de France matchup between Chatou and Les Ulis, the probabilities suggest that Les Ulis holds a stronger position with a 46% chance of winning, compared to Chatou's 29% and a 25% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals indicate that Chatou is projected to score 1.41, while Les Ulis is forecasted to net 1.81 goals, which aligns with the model's most likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Les Ulis, occurring at a 9% probability.

Additionally, the model indicates a high likelihood of goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% probability that both teams will score. Chatou's recent form is not available, while Les Ulis comes into the match with a loss in their latest outing. The confidence grade for this prediction is marked as C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chatou ↓ / Les Ulis β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Chatou and Les Ulis expected goals

Chatou 1.40
Les Ulis 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.22

Chatou and Les Ulis attack and defence ratings

Chatou

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Les Ulis

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Chatou vs Les Ulis markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Les Ulis 46.7% 2.14 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 53.3% 1.87 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chatou28.5%
Draw24.8%
Les Ulis46.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.3%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)71.5%
Handicap -1Les Ulis win26.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss53.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.3%
2-17.1%

Chatou vs Les Ulis stats

Chatou and Les Ulis recent form

newest first
Chatou no matches on record
Les Ulis L

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Chatou vs Les Ulis head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Chatou vs Les Ulis odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Les Ulis Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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