Cheminots Paray
vs
Villefranche
Garuda Lions Prediction: Villefranche
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.15.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche
| Probability | Cheminots Paray | Draw | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.1% | 25.2% | 51.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.1% | 25.2% | 51.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Villefranche
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.15.
Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match on November 14, 2026, Cheminots Paray faces Villefranche with a probability model indicating Cheminots Paray at 23%, a draw at 25%, and Villefranche at 52%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with an occurrence probability of 10%. The expected goals for Cheminots Paray stand at 1.15, while Villefranche is projected at 1.81.
Additionally, there is a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 58% probability. Villefranche's recent form shows a draw, while Cheminots Paray's form is not available. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating moderate confidence in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cheminots Paray and Villefranche expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Cheminots Paray and Villefranche attack and defence ratings
Cheminots Paray
Villefranche
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC
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- Le Touquet v Avranches — match page
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Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villefranche | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cheminots Paray | 23.1% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Villefranche | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Villefranche win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 48.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
Cheminots Paray vs Villefranche stats
Cheminots Paray and Villefranche recent form
| Cheminots Paray | no matches on record |
| Villefranche |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.