Le Touquet
vs
Avranches
Garuda Lions Prediction: Avranches
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Le Touquet vs Avranches overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Le Touquet vs Avranches
| Probability | Le Touquet | Draw | Avranches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.9% | 29.9% | 37.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.9% | 29.9% | 37.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Le Touquet vs Avranches match preview
Le Touquet faces Avranches in the Coupe de France with a competitive matchup anticipated. According to our model, Le Touquet has a 33% probability of winning, while Avranches stands at 37%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Avranches, occurring at a 10% probability. Expected goals are slightly in favor of Avranches at 1.27 compared to Le Touquet's 1.18.
In terms of recent form, Le Touquet has recorded a loss followed by a draw, while Avranches has struggled with five consecutive matches without a win, resulting in four draws and one loss. Our model indicates a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Le Touquet and Avranches expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
Le Touquet and Avranches attack and defence ratings
Le Touquet
Avranches
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Le Touquet vs Avranches markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avranches | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Le Touquet | 32.9% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Avranches | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avranches win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 10.0% | |
| 0-1 | 9.7% |
Le Touquet vs Avranches stats
Le Touquet and Avranches recent form
| Le Touquet |
LD |
| Avranches |
LDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.