Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs

Garuda Lions Prediction: Feurs

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.43.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade de Balmont, Lyon

Lyon Duchere 25%
Draw 23%
Feurs 52%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Feurs wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
68%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Lyon Duchere vs Feurs

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLyon DuchereDrawFeurs
Model25.2%22.8%52.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final25.2%22.8%52.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Feurs

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.43.

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs match preview

Lyon Duchere faces Feurs in the Coupe de France with a kickoff scheduled for November 14, 2026. According to our model, Lyon Duchere has a 25% chance of winning, while Feurs is favored with a 52% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Feurs, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.43 for Lyon Duchere and 2.10 for Feurs.

Both teams show a strong likelihood of scoring, with our model indicating a 68% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 68% probability that both teams will find the net. Lyon Duchere's recent form includes a loss followed by two wins, while Feurs has drawn and won in their last two matches. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Lyon Duchere ↓ / Feurs β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 6% 2 6% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Lyon Duchere and Feurs expected goals

Lyon Duchere 1.43
Feurs 2.10

Total expected goals: 3.53

Lyon Duchere and Feurs attack and defence ratings

Lyon Duchere

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Feurs

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Feurs 52.0% 1.92 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.4% 1.46 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 67.6% 1.48 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 48.0% 2.09 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Lyon Duchere25.2%
Draw22.8%
Feurs52.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.4%
Under 2.531.6%
Both teams to scoreYes67.6%
No32.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.0%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)74.8%
Handicap -1Feurs win31.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss48.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
1-29.2%
2-26.6%

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs stats

Lyon Duchere and Feurs recent form

newest first
Lyon Duchere LWW
Feurs DW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Lyon Duchere vs Feurs odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Feurs Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now